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London is obviously no stranger to regeneration megaprojects but it has rarely seen one like this. Chinese developer Knight Dragon鈥檚 mammoth 拢8.4bn overhaul of the former gasworks site at Greenwich Peninsula promises to be one of the biggest regeneration projects London has ever seen undertaken by a single developer.

Measuring over 150 acres it is twice the size of King鈥檚 Cross Central and offers an astonishing 1.6 miles of riverfront. It aims to provide 15,720 homes in order to sustain a residential population of around 34,000, more than nine times the size of the Barbican. It will include a commercial district that will offer 3.5 million ft虏 of retail, offices and hotels and it will also feature two schools and a film studio.

The development鈥檚 accommodation will be primarily distributed across a collection of futuristic high-rise towers arranged around almost 50 acres of green space and reaching up to 40 storeys high. The project has already been approved by the mayor of London and the Royal Borough of Greenwich, with the latter awarding outline consent for the masterplan in 2015. Although the scheme isn鈥檛 expected to fully complete until well into the next decade at least, several of its smaller buildings are already complete and construction is under way on a number of its major blocks.

But it is not just the scale of the project that differentiates it from other previous regeneration ventures. It has recently recruited one of the world鈥檚 most famous architects, Santiago Calatrava, as the designer of its anchor project, which will be his first UK building. Alison Brooks Architects, a well-regarded practice normally associated with smaller-scale undertakings, has also just won planning permission for its first residential skyscrapers for the development.

Also, unlike Nine Elms, King鈥檚 Cross, Stratford and even Canary Wharf in its day, Greenwich Peninsula will be accompanied by no significant transport infrastructure upgrade, a source of much local opposition. And concerns have been raised about the architectural and urbanism principles on which the development has been based, with many dismissing its forest of towers and tightly-packed high-rise density mix as a profiteering globalist import that is alien to both its local context and London in general. So, what are the development鈥檚 key features and what kind of urban regeneration legacy will the project leave in its wake?

Housing and density

The site is split into seven 鈥渘eighbourhoods鈥� arranged around a skinny stretch of green known as Central Park. The scheme is expected to take up to 20 years to complete and will include 15,720 homes providing a density ratio of at least 400dph (dwellings per hectare). This is considerably more than other east London regeneration schemes such as the Ocean Estate (261dph) and Bermondsey Spa (333dph).

Super high-density within a British urban context is commonly recognised as any scheme that provides more than 150dph. While this ratio is easily exceeded by many traditional London residential typologies (the mansion blocks of London鈥檚 Kensington and Victoria regularly achieve densities of up to 300dph) the mean density of all schemes in London granted planning permission in 2004鈥�5 (when the first Greenwich Peninsula masterplan was produced) was 125dph, a figure that has steadily but not dramatically increased since.

Of course, providing as many new homes as possible is currently an economic imperative in order to abate the London 鈥� and national 鈥� housing crisis. So statistically, this injection of new homes is a welcome boost. Empirical evidence indicates that usually, due to a number of complex factors (involving efficient use of floor space, infrastructure provision, and building distances) high-rise is not the most efficient model for achieving highest density on a large masterplan as opposed to a single site. However, here it is clear the Peninsula achieves its density ratio by virtually blanketing the site with a forest of skyscrapers.

In this manner it has far more in common with residential development patterns in Hong Kong, from where Knight Dragon hails and where staggering density ratios of over 2,000dph are routinely achieved. But there is a price to pay. Not only does this demographic import leave the development open to accusations of inappropriateness for a London context (a charge that can also be levelled against its architecture) but it also raises a host of environmental concerns relating to daylight, views, overshadowing, overlooking, wind and microclimate.

Knight Dragon contends that 鈥渞obust鈥� scrutiny of environmental and microclimate impacts was carried out early in the design process to ensure the 鈥渉ighest possible standards of amenities for existing and future residents.鈥� A spokesperson said that 鈥渄uring the design of residential plots we ensured the appointed architects worked collaboratively with neighbouring design teams and the masterplanners in order to develop proposals that addressed these issues and ensured that massing and landscaping are co-ordinated across the site.鈥�

But Julie Greer, former principal design adviser at the Olympic Delivery Authority and director of design-led planning consultancy Greer Pritchard, is not convinced that the development model being pursued at the Peninsula is the most effective way to secure either high-density or high quality.

鈥淚f buildings are going to be tall they have to be high-quality and increasingly with these kind of developments we鈥檙e not seeing that benchmark being met and we鈥檙e not being discerning enough with regard to design. Also, we have to be rigorous about using land well and tall buildings are often not the best way to achieve the highest densities we need. I鈥檝e regularly seen low and mid-rise developments exceed 400dph, Coin Street on the South Bank easily achieves around 300 to 400dph in buildings of around five storeys high.鈥�

There has also been criticism of the amount of affordable housing provided on the site which reduced from 35% to the current level of 25% when Knight Dragon purchased the site from Lendlease and Quintain in 2012 and 2013 respectively. In response, Knight Dragon maintains that the quality of affordable housing is ensured by it being 鈥渢enure blind and complying with minimum London Plan space standards鈥�.

Transport and infrastructure

In addition to its two new schools, Knight Dragon has also committed to the construction of a 15,000ft虏 鈥渋nnovative wellness hub鈥� (a medical centre). Also, three public transport infrastructure upgrades have been promised at Greenwich Peninsula. The first is an upgraded and expanded bus station to replace Foster + Partners existing North Greenwich interchange. The second is the expansion of the Thames riverboat Clipper services that provide links to central London and Woolwich. And the third, which has not yet been confirmed, is the possible introduction of a commuter ferry shuttle to Canary Wharf, modelled on the famous Star Ferries of Hong Kong.

Other improvements are planned in tandem with Transport for London. The Jubilee line鈥檚 capacity in 2017/8 will increase by 20% due to re-timetabling and the new bus station will handle an additional 30% in bus capacity.

Knight Dragon will also introduce a lower car parking ratio of 0.25 spaces per dwelling across the Peninsula to reduce car reliance and has revealed plans for a site-wide car club. The developer also cites the existing Emirates Cable Car in 2012 as giving 鈥渆xcellent resilience鈥� to the local transport network.

However, there is considerable local concern that these measures will not be sufficient to accommodate a development that could one day house up to 34,000 additional residents. Traffic levels in the historic centre of Greenwich are already high and local organisations such as the Greenwich Society have expressed fears that the area would be unable to cope with the level of additional congestion the scheme could potentially spark.

Transport expert and former Labour London mayoral contender Christian Wolmar is also sceptical. 鈥淚t doesn鈥檛 sound as if planned capacity increases are going to be sufficient. The cable car has virtually zero usefulness as a mass transit model, which means that it鈥檚 the Jubilee line that will be crucial. But London Underground is already running at full capacity.鈥�

Moreover, the Peninsula site is further hampered in long-term strategic shortcomings in local road transport infrastructure. Rotherhithe and Blackwall Tunnels, the latter of which runs directly under the Millennium Dome, are the only Thames vehicle crossings in the whole of east London, a circumstance which already adds extreme pressure to the local road network. While plans for a new East London River Crossing have been consistently stymied, last year the mayor of London announced the resuscitation of plans for the 拢1bn Silvertown Tunnel whose southern entrance would be on the edge of the Peninsula masterplan.

But in an ironic twist, Knight Dragon is fiercely opposed to the proposals mainly on the grounds of operational disruption to its scheme in general and its new transport interchange in particular. However, the developer points out that 鈥渢he masterplan has been designed to accommodate the new tunnel鈥� and that it has been in 鈥渞egular dialogue with TfL to ensure that both proposals can proceed鈥�.

It sounds like we may need to wait until the scheme is actually built to find out whether it will prove a draw for visitors and residents 鈥� and whether, once there, they will be able to come and go without transport headaches.