Policy of supporting homebuyers branded 鈥榓bsolutely insane鈥 as questions asked if it will allow homesowners to buy additional homes
Chancellor George Osborne鈥檚 拢130bn plan to offer home buyers help with their mortgages under an expansion of the existing NewBuy scheme has been criticised as 鈥渁bsolutely insane鈥 by economists.
The move, announced in yesterday鈥檚 Budget and which Osborne dubbed 鈥淗elp to Buy: mortgage guarantee鈥, has been given a guarded welcome by housebuilders. The guarantee will be used to support purchases of all homes, including second-hand homes, rather than just new-build houses as under the NewBuy scheme.
Housebuilders are concerned this may not provide an immediate boost to new homes sales, and economists have raised fears about the impact upon house prices, which are already seen as inflated.
Critics also questioned if the scheme would allow homeowners to buy a second home, in addition to their main home. The current NewBuy scheme does allow second-home buyers to purchase a new home - so called second steppers - but only if they are selling their existing home.
This morning on BBC鈥檚 Radio 4 Today programme Osborne did not rule out the possibility of homeowners using the scheme to buy adidtional homes, but said the government was 鈥渃onsulting on the details鈥.
He said: 鈥淭he mortgage guarantee, this is a big new step for the UK, and we are going to consult on the details. The mortgage market, as you know, is an extremely complex thing. The intention of the scheme is absolutely clear 鈥 it is for people who want to get their first home, or people who have a home and want to move to a bigger home because they鈥檝e perhaps got a bigger family. We鈥檙e working with the industry to get a scheme that works.鈥
Osborne defended the decision to invest in a housing Help to Buy scheme, rather than spending money on building new and social homes.
He told the Today programme: 鈥淚t is a big intervention in our housing market. We wouldn鈥檛 be doing it if our mortgage market was properly functioning. But it is not properly functioning, because people listening to this programme can鈥檛 afford the kind of 25-30% deposits that are being asked.
鈥淚 don鈥檛 think the solution to our housing situation is simply to build many, many more social homes. We also need to help people who want to own their own home, or indeed help people who want to build homes for private rent.鈥
Yesterday, following the Budget, housing minister Mark Prisk said the mortgage guarantee was aimed at helping 鈥減eople struggling to get the deposits together to buy a new home鈥.
He said: 鈥淭he point about 鈥楬elp-to-Buy鈥 is to make sure that home buyers and not just first-time buyers are able to look at those properties that they simply can鈥檛 afford. It is a much larger scheme and a scheme that should lever in about 拢130bn of mortgages in to the housing market. It could have the chance to kick start demand.鈥
Erik Britten, director at Fathom Consulting, told the Times the policy was 鈥渁bsolutely insane鈥. He said: 鈥淚f you had to invent a single policy that had a good chance of making the situation worse it would be the one he [Osborne] has chosen 鈥 subsidising high loan-to-value mortgages to risky house-holds. They are building a sub-prime mortgage sector just as they did in the US. We all know how that plays out.鈥
In its editorial the paper said Osborne鈥檚 move was 鈥渁 bad precedent鈥 because it saw the government 鈥渟upporting asset prices rather than allowing them to find a market-clearing level.鈥
Simon Rawlinson, head of strategic research at consultant EC Harris, said: 鈥淚t鈥檚 a whole market unblocker, helping the second movers. But my worry as an economist is it bakes in a generational over-valuation of house prices.
鈥淚n the US since the crunch we鈥檝e seen house prices fall sharply, but here we鈥檝e fudged the re-balancing of the market. And this doesn鈥檛 allow that re-balancing to happen.鈥
However, yesterdays Budget statement saw a raft of measures which will help housebuilders, including a further 拢3.5bn towards the government鈥檚 FirstBuy scheme. Shares in housebuilders rose sharply on the news, with Barratt, Taylor Wimpey, Crest Nicholson, Bellway, Persimmon and Redrow all reporting increases of over 4%. Taylor Wimpey was the biggest riser recording a 6.5% share price increase.
Mike Farley, chief executive of Persimmon, said: 鈥淓xtension [of FirstBuy] gives the industry the long term certainty it needs. Help to Buy will be particularly helpful to capital constrained small and medium-sized housebuilders, providing a boost to sales and build rates, which should be good news for jobs and economic growth.鈥
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