Redfern upbeat as housebuilder announces pre-tax loss of 拢682m over first half of 2009

Peter Redfern, chief executive of Taylor Wimpey, has said there is no evidence for a second drop in the housing market.

Speaking after the company announced its figures for the six months to 30 June, Redfern said he didn鈥檛 believe the market would suffer a 鈥渄ouble dip鈥, as some observers fear.

He said: 鈥淚t is harder to say the same thing about the wider economic picture. The truth is your guess is as good as mine.鈥

His comments chime with yesterday鈥檚 announcement by the RICS that it was adjusting its forecasts upwards for house prices in 2009. It originally forecast a 10% drop but said prices will be higher in the fourth quarter of 2009 than in the same period last year.

Brigid O鈥橪eary, RICS senior economist, said: 鈥淭here has been a clear change in the housing market over the past few months and, as a result, it is unlikely that we will now see the kind of house price falls widely predicted at the start of the year.鈥

Taylor Wimpey made a pre-tax loss of 拢682m over the period to 30 June, after writedowns of 拢604m. Redfern said prices would have to fall by about 5% to make further writedowns necessary.

Turnover was down 28% from 拢1.56bn to 拢1.1bn and net debt stood at 拢1bn, down from 拢1.7bn at the same time last year, after a 拢510m rights issue in May.

In April, the company completed a protracted refinancing deal on its then 拢1.9bn debt. It expects debt to fall to below 拢900m by the end of this year.

Redfern said the deal had put the company on a sound financial footing. 鈥淵ou would have to work hard to construct a scenario to put us in danger of breaching covenants.鈥

He described the land market as 鈥渢hin鈥 although he added that sellers were becoming more realistic in their valuations.

In numbers

4,702 completions (2008: 6,317)
拢153,000 average selling price (拢177,000)
0.61 private sales per outlet per week (0.45)
67% rise in UK order book to 拢938m
69,167 plots in landbank

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