But firm says greater certainty around interest rates and investments could be 鈥榮hot in the arm鈥 for industry
New project start figures for the first months of the year paint a dismal picture for the construction鈥檚 prospects in 2023.
Research by information firm Glenigan shows the value of underlying work starting on site in the three months to February was 22% lower than the preceding three months and 40% down on the same period last year.
The decline was led by residential construction, which dropped back 27% on the previous three months and 43% on the year prior, with private housing performance particularly weak 鈥 down 39% on the previous year.
Project starts on both non-residential and civil engineering jobs also fell against the previous three months, by 19% and 8%, respectively, and on the previous year, by 38% and 17%.
Allan Wilen, Glenigan鈥檚 economic director, said many would be 鈥渄isappointed鈥 to see performance levels continuing to fall but that it was 鈥渉ardly surprising鈥 given the state of the economy more broadly.
鈥淐onsumers and investors are spending thriftily with many holding back until a degree of certainty returns,鈥 he said.
鈥淭his is having a knock-on effect for the construction sector, prompting many contractors to follow suit and ride out the storm before committing shovel to soil.鈥
He added that 鈥渋mproved political stability鈥 and the expectation that interest rates will not rise 鈥渁s significantly as initially feared鈥, combined with government commitment to major infrastructure investment, would provide a 鈥渟hot in the arm鈥 for the second and third quarters.
Regionally, Yorkshire & the Humber suffered the heaviest fall in project starts, 61% down on last year, while the North-east was the bright spot, increasing 19% against the precedent three months 鈥 though it too was down 20% on last year鈥檚 levels.
Except for the South-east, which increased 5% against the preceding months, all others regions were down both on the previous three months and on the same period the year prior.
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