Consultant鈥檚 latest survey says general trend for this year 鈥渋s one of weakness鈥
The Beast from the East, the collapse of Carillion and a general malaise exacerbated by concerns over Brexit have all conspired to pile the pressure on suppliers, according to Mace.
In its first quarter UK Tender Cost Update, the firm said that while the weather in the early part of 2018 had had a clear impact on growth it was 鈥渘ot possible to split the lack of activity due to snow from the wider, underlying issues facing the industry鈥.
Mace said that while a rebound of some sorts was likely in the second quarter 鈥渢he general trend for 2018 is one of weakness鈥.
Carillion鈥檚 collapse had only a limited effect on the supply chain, Mace鈥檚 report argued. But it added: 鈥淚t is still early days and a number of subcontractors are likely to be facing considerable pressure.
鈥淎long with these obvious financial implications a second issue that has emerged is clients becoming increasingly cautious about who they take on. They are also pushing hard on prices and in response we have seen many cases of overhead profits and margins falling.鈥
The firm said that London would see tender price inflation of 1% this year, with 1.5% being recorded nationally, while both the capital and the wider UK would see growth of 1.5% next year and 3% in 2020, 2021 and 2022.
But questions around the reliability of the Office for National Statistics鈥 figures meant that forecasting tender prices was 鈥渧ery difficult鈥.
Mace said material price rises were beginning to ease but the slowdown so far has been gradual and prices were still more than 10% higher than at the start of 2016.
Strong growth in private housing output in the first quarter had not been matched by a similar increase in the number of completed properties, adding that in England last year鈥檚 figure was only 50% higher than that recorded in 2010.
The infrastructure sector was also showing signs of weakness, as was commercial, which had seen what Mace called 鈥渁 noticeable reduction since early 2017 as firms have held back from investing in new office space鈥.
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