UK construction output fell 6.3% in May compared with the previous year, the latest official figures have shown
The Office for National Statistics output figures showed that between March and May, the drop was even steeper, down 7.4% from the same period in 2011.
The figures showed the main drag on output was the fall in new public sector work, which fell by about 22%, reflecting the ongoing impact of government spending cuts.
The figures come on the back of , which found that one in four public sector clients are set to cancel construction projects over the next six months.
The ONS figures revealed that the only sectors that showed a slight upturn were new commercial work and non-housing repair, which both grew by less than 0.5%.
However, total output in May was up 6.2% on April鈥檚 low, which had seen output fall 8.5% on 2011 levels.
Steve McGuckin, Turner & Townsend managing director of the construction, said the figures showed that what began as a 鈥渄ip has become a dive鈥.
鈥淲hile confidence is still weak, month-on-month output did rise slightly in May. That said, the improvement on April鈥檚 atrocious figures is hardly an achievement, and the quarterly trend is still down.
鈥淲ith public sector construction down around 22% on this time last year, the impact of the government鈥檚 austerity cuts is clear.
鈥淲hat鈥檚 not clear yet is whether the industry has reached a turning point.
鈥淭here have been some signs of life in the private sector, and many still hope that it will ride to the rescue of a construction industry that has been hit hard by the decline in public spending.
鈥淏ut these figures clearly show that it hasn鈥檛 happened yet. It鈥檚 time for George Osborne to look at stimulating demand in this crucial sector.鈥
The figures come after yesterday the making the case for investment in the construction industry as a driver of economic growth.
Simon Rawlinson, EC Harris head of strategic research & insight, said the figures offered a 鈥渟trong indication鈥 the overall GDP figures for the second quarter of this year would be negative.
鈥淭he ONS figures released today offer no real surprise and confirm there is a sustained level of downward activity in the UK construction market. This is a worrying trend and repeats what we saw in Q1 when a reduced level of construction activity was blamed for the double-dip recession鈥
鈥淲hilst there鈥檚 a slight improvement on April鈥檚 dismal figures the stats from the past two months offer a strong indication that the Q2GDP figures will also be negative which will inevitably impact market confidence and investors willingness to focus on the UK creating fresh concerns for the Bank of England鈥
He said one of the 鈥渕ore worrying aspects鈥 of the figures was the drop in infrastructure activity. 鈥淯nfortunately this could have been caused by the bad weather and new policy decisions may now be under consideration on the back of this,鈥 he said.
鈥淭his pattern of sharp decline in the volume of activity confirms what has been seen since December 2011 and whilst the data from previous years shows that infrastructure activity is typically more productive over the summer months, the government鈥檚 announcement next week on a new spending package cannot come quickly enough鈥
Round-up of reaction to output figures:
Noble Francis, Economics Director at the Construction Products Association, said: 鈥淎lthough the coalition has consistently made pronouncements of boosting UK construction and the economy, there is little sign of this in reality. Public sector housing output in May was 23% lower than a year earlier and in the three months to May was also 23% lower than a year earlier.
鈥淧ublic non-housing output, which primarily covers education and health construction, during May was 20% lower than a year earlier and in the three months to May was 22% lower than a year earlier.鈥
鈥淧rivate commercial, the largest construction sector, continues to be the key bright area of construction. Commercial output in May was 2% higher than a year ago and in the first five months of the year was 1.3% higher than one year ago.
鈥淗owever, this is not enough to offset the public sector cuts and, overall, in the first five months of the year, construction output was 5.4% lower than a year earlier so prospects for the year as a whole are bleak.
鈥淚f government is serious about recovery in UK construction and the economy, it clearly needs to focus on getting a replacement for PFI sorted out immediately, getting work on the ground now by focusing on repair and maintenance and ensuring that the Green Deal becomes a success by giving householders greater incentives to invest in energy-saving improvements.鈥
Simon Rubinsohn, RICS Chief Economist, said:
鈥淐onstruction output rose a little in May but the underlying picture is still pretty flat with little sign that government rhetoric on the role of the sector in driving economic recovery is having any impact.
鈥淲e remain sceptical that institutional investors will provide the requisite funding to deliver the much talked of infrastructure programme without additional support from the authorities.
鈥淟ike many others in the sector, we are eagerly awaiting a further announcement from the government to address some of the key obstacles to private financing of construction projects.鈥
Steve McGuckin, Turner & Townsend managing director of the construction, said:
鈥淲hat began as a dip has become more of a dive. What鈥檚 not clear yet is whether the industry has reached terminal velocity.
鈥淥utput is significantly down on this time last year, and last week鈥檚 PMI survey showed construction activity falling at the fastest rate for two and half years.
鈥淏ut while confidence is still weak, month-on-month output did rise slightly in May. That said, the improvement on April鈥檚 alarming figures is hardly an achievement, and the quarterly trend is still down.
鈥淭here have been some signs of life in the private sector, and many still hope that it will ride to the rescue of a construction industry that has been hit hard by the decline in public spending. But these figures clearly show that it hasn鈥檛 happened yet. Infrastructure figures also continue to disappoint, so it is not yet the white knight the industry is hoping for.
鈥淭he pain isn鈥檛 being spread equally over the regions either - with South East England proving more resilient than everywhere else.
鈥淐ompetition for work is intense and some consultants and contractors are making 鈥渟uicide bids鈥 - offering to work at below cost price just to create cash-flow, intending to leverage a profit on the job.
鈥淒emand is still there, if sporadic and patchy. The major players are surviving, even if their margins have got steadily tighter.
鈥淣iche players who excel at what they do are also bearing up well, but it鈥檚 the middle ground - non-specialists whose services are commoditised - who are most at risk.鈥
Simon Rawlinson, Head of Strategic Research & Insight at EC Harris, said:
鈥淭he ONS figures released today offer no real surprise and confirm there is a sustained level of downward activity in the UK construction market. This is a worrying trend and repeats what we saw in Q1 when a reduced level of construction activity was blamed for the double-dip recession.
鈥淲hilst there鈥檚 a slight improvement on April鈥檚 dismal figures the stats from the past two months offer a strong indication that the Q2GDP figures will also be negative which will inevitably impact market confidence and investors willingness to focus on the UK creating fresh concerns for the Bank of England.
鈥淚t鈥檚 worth bearing in mind that these monthly statistics are not seasonally adjusted however so the Jubilee celebrations will undoubtedly have had an impact on the results.
鈥淥ne of the more worrying aspects of this month鈥檚 figures is the drop in activity in the infrastructure sector (which had previously been the star performer) where there has been a 20% decrease in volume of activity. Unfortunately this could have been caused by the bad weather and new policy decisions may now be under consideration on the back of this.
鈥淭his pattern of sharp decline in the volume of activity confirms what has been seen since December 2011 and whilst the data from previous years shows that infrastructure activity is typically more productive over the summer months, the government鈥檚 announcement next week on a new spending package cannot come quickly enough.
鈥淢ay鈥檚 figures also confirm a reduction in activity across the entire public sector with work orders down by over 20% overall which is consistent with the figures from previous months.
鈥淭he bulk of reduction in activity is in new assets reflecting the austerity in the public sector and lack of investment in privately funded utilities however asset maintenance and asset management is showing some resilience with figures down by just 2%鈥.
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