Brexit uncertainty and weakness in demand blamed for slump

Housebuilding

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Construction activity continued to fall last month with all three categories of work heading south in September.

The drop was the second fastest since April 2009, according to the bellwether IHS Markit/CIPS UK Construction Total Activity Index.

New work inflows fell substantially in September, with the index recording a score of 43.3 last month, down from the 45.0 mark posted in August.

Commercial activity led the decline, according to IHS Markit鈥檚 latest construction figures, followed by civil engineering, while housebuilding activity 鈥� usually a sector stalwart 鈥� recorded a fourth successive monthly decrease.

The industry was 鈥渕ired in a downturn鈥� at the end of the third quarter, according to IHS Markit.

Respondents to IHS Markit鈥檚 latest survey said the slowdown was being caused by 鈥淏rexit uncertainty and the resulting hesitancy caused among clients, as well as a general underlying weakness in demand鈥�.

Despite the gloomy state of the sector IHS Markit said firms were 鈥渕ildly optimistic鈥� that output volumes would pick up in the coming 12 months.

But Mark Robinson, Scape Group chief executive, said the latest figures were 鈥渋ncredibly concerning鈥�, and parallels between the slowdown in activity following the financial crisis could not be ignored.

鈥淲e are facing significant economic upheaval with no end to the uncertainty in sight and the construction sector is responding accordingly, with both public and private sector clients exercising caution.

鈥淲e desperately need clarity from the government on their legislative programme and detail on whether the EU is going to accept [the government鈥檚] proposed deal. Provide us with this clarity and businesses will finally be able to make decisions on projects that have been paused and pushed to the side.鈥�

Brian Berry, chief executive of the Federation of Master Builders, said the government can鈥檛 afford to lose any more capacity in the industry after Brexit.

He added: 鈥淭he PMI data picks up on material shortages and bottlenecks already, even before leaving the EU, and this is likely to be a major concern in the event of a no-deal.鈥�

And Jan Crosby, KPMG鈥檚 UK head of infrastructure, building and construction, said housebuilding鈥檚 slowdown was a major concern.

鈥淭he poor performance in residential building is particularly discouraging. Given its status as the bellwether of the sector, its continued decline shows the strain the market is under.鈥�

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