May Gurney board to recommend 拢221m Kier bid representing a 35% premium over Costain offer

Kier - Costain - May Gurney

Kier has agreed terms for a recommended offer to buy May Gurney, trumping a rival bid by Costain.

Kier鈥檚 offer of 315p per share values May Gurney at 拢221m 鈥 a 71% premium on May Gurney鈥檚 share price and a 35% premium on the value of Costain鈥檚 bid of 234p per share.

Kier said its offer would be a better fit than its rival鈥檚 and could generate annual savings of 拢20m.

The deal would create a business turning over 拢2.6bn and result in around 200 job cuts from overlapping services.

May Gurney shareholders will own around 27% of the enlarged group once new shares have been issued.

May Gurney鈥檚 share price rose 16% on the news this morning to 295p, but Kier鈥檚 share price fell 7%.

Costain鈥檚 share price remained relatively unmoved.

Phil White, chairman of Kier, said: 鈥濃楽cale, performance and reputation are three essential elements of a successful services business.

鈥淭he combination of Kier and May Gurney has all three and is a natural fit.

鈥淭he combined businesses will offer more services to more clients. The acquisition accelerates Kier鈥檚 planned growth in the sector and is significantly value enhancing.鈥

Baroness Margaret Ford, chairman of May Gurney, said: 鈥漈his is a compelling transaction for May Gurney shareholders.

鈥淚t offers a highly attractive combination of a significant premium, a cash element and, through the scale and strategic fit of the enlarged group, allows May Gurney shareholders to share in the growth of one of the UK鈥檚 leading integrated services and construction companies.鈥

In response to the announcement, Costain said this morning it was 鈥渃onsidering its position and will make a further announcement in due course.鈥

Joe Brent, an analyst at Liberum Capital, said he expected the Kier鈥檚 deal to be a 鈥渒nock out bid鈥, with Costain unlikely to return with an improved offer.

He said: 鈥淚t is impossible to rule out a further Costain bid. However, we do not believe Costain could justify the same level of synergies (less overlap) and we see this price as full. We expect the deal to go though on current terms.鈥

Stephen Rawlinson, an analyst at Whitman Howard, said Costain now needed to 鈥済o back to the drawing board鈥.

He said: 鈥淲here does this leave Costain? As far as we are concerned no better than it was before and no worse other than carrying the costs of this aborted transaction. The company would have improved May Gurney we believe, but the risk level for shareholders was large, especially in the local authority space which would have been 25% of the combined revenue.

鈥淐ostain, after aborted bids for Mouchel (a close shave) and May Gurney, needs to get back to the drawing board and assess fully what is achievable in terms of expansion. But that does not make it a bad business, indeed it is a very good one from what we can see and we suspect will be forced to rethink its expansion plans.鈥

Kevin Cammack, an analyst at Cenkos Securities, said: 鈥淐ostain will be hard pressed to get near this - I always said an all-share nil premium merger is a hard deal to pull off in any circumstances.

鈥淢ay Gurney adds scale and revenue in arguably Kier鈥檚 most valued division as far as market perception and rating is concerned, but this is the first scale deal Kier has ever done in its corporate history and with management un-tested on integration, it is not without execution risk.鈥