Fears grow for future of Crossrail, hospitals and housing as Tories apply spending brakes

The industry voiced its anxiety about the prospect of public spending cuts as the Conservative-Liberal Democrat coalition government began its first days in power.

Amid widespread uncertainty over the extent of any cuts, senior industry figures have expressed fears that the axe will now start to fall on capital spending. Areas of particular concern were:

Crossrail

The Conservatives gave assurances in the run-up to the election that London鈥檚 拢16bn east鈥搘est train link would not be affected, but the chief executive of one major contractor said they did so only 鈥渁fter coming under a lot of pressure. I鈥檇 say they have about a week to make their position clear and either back it or say there will be cuts.鈥

Another senior contracting source with links to Whitehall, said: 鈥淢y feeling is that the Tories won鈥檛 commit major funds to Crossrail for two years.鈥

Other sources were more upbeat. The boss of a large consultant said: 鈥淲ith 拢1.5bn committed so far, it would be difficult to turn back. Contracts have been signed feverishly over the past few months with exactly that in mind.鈥

Social housing

The Homes and Communities Agency (HCA), which spends between 拢5bn and 拢6bn a year, has been allocated funding until next April. Although immediate cuts have not been threatened, a senior HCA source said there were 鈥渘o guarantees鈥. The Conservatives have not made any commitment to preserving spending on social housing, and many are expecting cuts of up to 20% in 2011.

Planning and private housing

Housebuilders have given the coalition a cautious welcome as doubts persist over how negotiable elements of the Tory鈥檚 recent planning green paper are.

These include the removal of planning targets as part of the party鈥檚 localism agenda and the introduction of a third-party right of appeal. More alarmingly for the industry, the Lib Dems have talked about imposing VAT on new housing.

The chief executive of one major housebuilder said: 鈥淚鈥檝e been to meetings and what Grant Shapps said six months ago and what he says today are different things. I think there鈥檚 scope for flexibility as the party realises the practicalities of life.鈥

My feeling is that the Tories won鈥檛 commit big funds to Crossrail for two years

Contracting source

His comments were backed up by a senior director at a medium-sized housebuilder, who dismissed Tory proposals for a third-party right of appeal as 鈥渆lectioneering鈥.

John Stewart, director of economic affairs at the Home Builders Federation, said he thought the abolition of planning targets was sure to go ahead, but there might be flexibility on the right of appeal.

鈥淩emoving the targets is a big leap of faith and puts enormous onus on local authorities to come up with sufficient housing. There need to be some disciplines to encourage councils to perform.

鈥淥ne area where we hope they are willing to cede ground is the third-party right of appeal, which we find vexatious and hope is not fundamental to their plans.鈥

In relation to the Lib Dems鈥 proposal for VAT, Stewart said: 鈥淲e鈥檇 oppose that very strongly. It could only be done at the expense of something else, like affordable housing, or it would force the value of land down.鈥

As one City analyst pointed out this week: 鈥淲hen you think that the government is the biggest landowner in the country, it seems even more unworkable.鈥

Prisons

Few fears have been raised about the continuation of Labour鈥檚 拢5.4bn prison building programme. One source close to the programme said the level of spending would probably not be affected.

Other areas

The coalition has pledged to scrap the third runway at Heathrow airport and has also ruled out additional runways at Gatwick and Stansted.

It has committed itself to a high-speed rail network but agreed routes have not been specified.

Can firms claim costs for scrapped schemes?

Stephen Matthew, a partner in commercial law firm Nabarro, explains鈥

鈥淭here鈥檚 no precedent in BSF for getting bid costs back. The only document anyone can refer to is the invitation to participate and I鈥檇 expect them all to contain the standard reference to bidding at risk. Any authority doing anything different to the norm would have been very ill-advised and I certainly haven鈥檛 seen anything different. If a contractor runs to an individual authority that has pulled the plug I think the answer will be, 鈥榳ell where do you expect us to find half a million to pay you with?鈥. The only way contractors have any hope is if they go to the Treasury en masse with a sob story. In theory they could have a case, but it would be a lawyer鈥檚 field day to work out a basis of claim. This is uncharted water.鈥

Andrew Lansley, health secretary

Formerly Norman Tebbit鈥檚 private secretary and an active Conservative since the eighties. Helped get John Major elected in 1992. Has been the shadow health secretary since 2003 and key in demonstrating Tory commitment to NHS.

Chris Huhne, energy and climate change secretary

Former journalist who made his fortune in the City and served as an MEP. Competed with Clegg for the Lib Dem leadership in 2007.

David Laws, chief secretary to the Treasury

Former investment banker. Worked in party鈥檚 Treasury team, and work and pensions. Was part of the negotiating team after the election.

Iain Duncan Smith, work and pensions

The former Conservative leader will be overseeing the future of the Health and Safety Executive. The Tories have said they will professionalise the HSE and push towards private responsibility.

George Osborne, chancellor

David Cameron鈥檚 closest chum and MP for Tatton since 2001. He was promoted to the role of shadow chancellor by Michael Howard in May 2005. His position will retain responsibility for banking and financial regulation.

Michael Gove, education secretary

Former Times journalist, 好色先生TV columnist and member of Cameron鈥檚 inner circle. As shadow minister was critical of home information packs.

Vince Cable, business secretary

A former economist, he was the Liberal Democrat Treasury spokesman and was dubbed a financial doyen after warning about the credit crunch.

Eric Pickles, communities secretary

The Conservative鈥檚 party chairman. In 2006 a chip shop in his Brentwood community launched a pickled egg in his honour. Has championed more control for local authorities on their housing strategies.