Lords report downplays new tech鈥檚 potential to disrupt labour market

Artificial Intelligence will not cause widespread unemployment and is unlikely to cause much disruption at all in physical and interpersonal sectors like construction.

The House of Lords鈥 Communications and Digital Committee published its report into the government鈥檚 AI strategy on Friday, in which it dismissed the risk of a 鈥渞obot apocalypse鈥 and encouraged the government to embrace the technology.

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The report brings to an end the House of Lords inquiry into AI and large language models

鈥淢uch of our evidence suggested initial disruption would give way to enhanced productivity,鈥 the report said. 鈥淲e did not find plausible evidence of imminent widespread AI鈥慽nduced unemployment.鈥

It cited recent research by Goldman Sachs, which looked at how different fields would be affected. 

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The three least affected categories were building and grounds cleaning and maintenance; installation, maintenance and repair; and construction and extraction.

Each was seen as unlikely to have workloads replaced by AI and as experiencing less than 30% of workloads completed with the support of AI tools. 

鈥淪ome studies suggest jobs involving physical or interpersonal work are unlikely to experience much disruption,鈥 the Lords report said. Architecture and engineering, as well as legal services, will be affected much more.

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More broadly, the report warned that the government鈥檚 approach to AI and large language models was too focused 鈥渙n a narrow view of AI safety鈥 and said there was a 鈥渞eal and growing鈥 risk of regulatory capture.

It suggested the government introduce measures to boost opportunities, address risks and support effective regulatory oversight, including to ensure open competition and avoid market dominance by established technology giants.