Last month, Interserve warned that it was unlikely to meet its financial covenants for 2017, issued a fresh profit warning and admitted that the cost of quitting the energy-from-waste sector would now cost it close to 拢200m.The question on everyone鈥檚 lips is, how on earth did it get into this mess?

Waste bunker, grab and tipping hall

Source: Viridor

Under the Landfill Directive, EU member states are required to send no more than 35% of the volume of bio municipal waste to landfill than they did during 1995 by 2020. The UK is comfortably on course to meet this target

It wasn鈥檛 supposed to be like this, of course.

Towards the end of July 2012, Interserve announced it had won a contract to build a recycling and renewable energy centre in Glasgow. The deal, it told investors via the London Stock Exchange, was worth 拢146m and would be completed by early 2016.

The announcement, made three days before the start of that year鈥檚 summer Olympics in London, marked a new income stream for the then 拢2.3bn turnover firm. Its chief executive at the time, Adrian Ringrose, gushed: 鈥淭his facility will make a real difference to Glasgow and the surrounding area and we are proud to be involved.鈥

At the bottom of the announcement, the firm added, somewhat unfortunately given it was thrown off the job last November, that its vision was 鈥渢o be the trusted partner of all our stakeholders鈥.

But for Interserve, the job has been nothing short of disastrous, culminating with last autumn鈥檚 public humiliation by its client Viridor, a recycling and waste management specialist owned by the listed water utility Pennon Group.

Announcing its decision to terminate the deal with Interserve, Viridor didn鈥檛 hold back 鈥 with its capital projects director Alan Cumming, in particular, sticking the boot in. 鈥淚nterserve has continually and repeatedly failed to meet delivery milestones,鈥 he said. 鈥淰iridor has made every effort to avoid this highly regrettable action. That said, against a backdrop of Interserve continuing to report further delays, Viridor is no longer able to tolerate further impacts on this important environmental project.鈥

Interserve鈥檚 new chief executive Debbie White must be wondering what she has walked into. When she joined at the beginning of September there was admittedly some good news for the firm: it had just bagged a 拢90m contract with the Department for Transport and had posted a 拢25m pre-tax profit for the six months to June, reversing a near 拢34m loss for the same period the previous year. But just two weeks into the role, White was forced to put out an announcement warning that last year鈥檚 decision to get out of the energy-from-waste (EfW) sector completely 鈥 Interserve has five other schemes across the UK 鈥 would now cost it more than the 拢160m it had said it would earlier this year, which was already a hike on an initial estimate of 拢70m.

Sure enough, five weeks later White said she was setting aside a further 拢35m and warned 鈥渟ignificant uncertainty remains on the timing of commissioning [of the projects still to complete]鈥.

This seems to be a coded warning that the cost of getting out of this business might go up again and, given that provisions are now close to 180% higher than when it first announced it was pulling out last August, the possibility of them climbing yet further cannot be ruled out. Alongside this announcement, Interserve said it was launching a 鈥済roup wide performance improvement plan鈥, ensuring it is operating in market segments that are both profitable and offer growth opportunities.

鈥淭he first rule of contracting is: if you don鈥檛 understand the risk or don鈥檛 have the people to construct that asset, don鈥檛 do it鈥

Nick Pollard, Cory Riverside Energy

What on earth, then, has gone wrong?

Interserve declined to add any more to what it has already said, but a source close to the company said at the time the firm entered the EfW sector its margins had stagnated and that, in an attempt to reverse this, it took the risk of entering the EfW sector but the move has now ultimately backfired. 

Others, too, have offered an opinion on the EfW market. In August, Leo Quinn, the chief executive of Balfour Beatty 鈥 which has been mired in its own problems of late but seems to have turned a corner 鈥 said contractors should stick to what they鈥檙e good at. In short, if you don鈥檛 know what you鈥檙e doing, then don鈥檛 bother.

Announcing an improved set of interim results, the boss of the country鈥檚 biggest contractor said: 鈥淔or example, if I take energy-from-waste: we see a lot of our people reporting losses in this area. When you鈥檙e a construction company, what do you know about process risk and all the implications of that? 

鈥淚t鈥檚 getting ahead of yourself and it鈥檚 having an ambition beyond your ability to deliver, and that鈥檚 where it goes wrong.鈥

One of Balfour Beatty鈥檚 former executives, Nick Pollard, says that some firms have been lured into the market by the prospect of rich pickings. The former chief executive of Balfour鈥檚 construction services division, who stepped down back in summer 2015, said that EfW schemes tend to be long-term and worth in excess of 拢100m, providing valuable additional revenue streams outside the increasingly competitive traditional construction market. But they also carry a lot of risk.

Pollard is now group chief executive of recycling and energy firm Cory Riverside Energy, which claims to operate the UK鈥檚 largest EfW facility, at Belvedere in Kent. He says: 鈥淭he first rule of contracting is: if you don鈥檛 understand the risk or don鈥檛 have the people to construct that asset, don鈥檛 do it. These companies are doing it anyway, and you can see the huge losses.

鈥淵ou get a contractor that is accustomed to building office blocks that has to build an EfW plant. [But] you don鈥檛 typically find someone that knows how to build power stations that will build London offices.

鈥淚f they see these contracts as lucrative, it shows a fundamental lack of professional judgment and skill in those contractors. You have to know what you are doing.鈥 

Waste bunker, grab and control room

Source: Viridor

Technologically speaking 鈥

Others point to the types of technology used to turn tonnes of domestic household rubbish into energy. When it said it had won the Glasgow deal, Interserve said the scheme would be able to handle between 175,000 and 200,000 tonnes of rubbish a year. This would mean that 90% of the rubbish collected by Glasgow鈥檚 bin lorries would avoid ending up in landfill and would be able to generate up to 15MW of electrical power.

Incineration is the most commonly used process in these sorts of schemes, but Interserve said the Glasgow site would 鈥渋ncorporate advanced facilities for recycling and anaerobic digestion and will deploy the latest waste treatment and gasification technology from Interserve鈥檚 specialist supply-chain partners鈥.

In sum, this gasification method turns materials into carbon monoxide, hydrogen and carbon dioxide, with the power derived from the resultant gases then used as a source of renewable energy.

If you look at the Interserve EfW issues, I suspect they aren鈥檛 construction issues but rather around technology performance

Simon Rawlinson, Arcadis

But unlike incineration, gasification requires the pre-processing of waste material. This, says Jacob Hayler, executive director of the Environmental Services Association, is where problems lie. 鈥淚f you aren鈥檛 going to go for the traditional combustion process, it is a risk,鈥 he warns. 鈥淭here鈥檚 a large mix of waste that households throw away and that has proven difficult for the newer technologies to handle. The waste will go through a first stage, which is to try and process it and make it as homogenous as possible.

鈥淭hat might involve blending waste from different sources and shredding so it is of a similar size. That gets whacked into the plant during the second phase, but even then there have been technical challenges around getting processed waste fuel through these plants.鈥

Pollard is blunt in his assessment of technologies like gasification, claiming they produce unwanted bi-products because they are only partially burning the waste. He reckons projects that rely on these technologies are the ones that go 鈥渟pectacularly wrong鈥. He adds: 鈥淒on鈥檛 use technology that doesn鈥檛 work.鈥

Contractors get caught out, he says, because they don鈥檛 know how to fix things when it starts to go pear-shaped. 鈥淭hey take a contract, commit to having a plant finished by a deadline, and then it doesn鈥檛 work because they don鈥檛 understand what they are building.鈥

Simon Rawlinson, head of strategic research and insight at consultant Arcadis, says the performance of the technology is typically very sensitive to the waste mix, such as how wet or dry it is, or if it is organic. 鈥淚f you look at the Interserve EfW issues, I suspect they aren鈥檛 construction issues but rather around technology performance.

鈥淥ne is whether they can isolate the right waste streams, and that has proven to be quite a problem. You either don鈥檛 get enough energy out of them because there isn鈥檛 enough residual energy in the waste in the first place, or the machine can鈥檛 do what it has set out to do in terms of the energy reaction it is trying to create, because there just isn鈥檛 the right stuff there.鈥

Planning

Other factors affecting the success of a scheme can be how quickly it can get planning permission. Ideally, plants will be built close to highly populated city areas where they can receive the most waste, but they can quickly rouse local residents鈥 anger.

Plans to build Europe鈥檚 biggest waste plant in north London were shelved four years ago following opposition from locals. The 24-hour waste plant at Pinkham Way would have processed up to 300,000 tonnes of rubbish a year from seven boroughs but opponents said the site was within half a mile of seven schools and 100,000 homes.

It was pulled after North London Waste Authority said a less expensive solution to waste management for north London could be found.

The Environmental Services Association鈥檚 Hayler admits: 鈥淭hese plants can sail through the planning process in some places but not in others, and that uncertainty creates the risk.鈥

But it鈥檚 not all doom and gloom for the business of energy-from-waste.

According to Hayler, there are some 40 EfW plants located throughout the UK treating household and commercial waste, processing a combined 12-13 million tonnes of waste. He argues the construction of new plants is as important as ever. 鈥淭here are still huge amounts of waste we are sending to landfill, and over the next 10-15 years we are going to have to bring in a further 12-13 million tonnes in order to continue to move waste out of landfill and into energy facilities.

鈥淎ny successful contractor that has a successful track record has a good opportunity to partake in that ongoing pipeline of projects.鈥

In February this year, Viridor鈥檚 parent issued a trading update and said that it had drafted in local firm Doosan Babcock to salvage the scheme in Glasgow. Explaining its decision, the firm said: 鈥淭hey have been chosen for their experience in delivering large capital projects in the energy and power space [market]鈥 鈥 qualities it perhaps regrets not prioritising when awarding the original contract to Interserve. 

Artists impression glasgow rrec ii 2

Source: Viridor

Viridor鈥檚 energy-from-waste plant in Glasgow was expected to handle 200,000 tonnes of council green bin residual waste every year

Timeline

July 2012

Interserve awarded a 拢146m contract to build an energy-from-waste (EfW) plant in Glasgow by Viridor. Development due to begin in summer 2013 and be completed in early 2016

November 2015

In a trading update, the firm says it has been hit by 鈥渢hree loss-making energy process contracts鈥

May 2016

Confirms that it has taken a 拢70m hit on the Glasgow scheme

August

Interserve announces closure of its EfW business after a loss of 拢72m drags it into the red for the half-year

14 November

Announces chief executive Adrian Ringrose is stepping down

15 November

Says it has been served notice on its Glasgow scheme

February 2017

Says cost of getting out of EfWm has risen to 拢160m, just days before posting a 拢94m pre-tax loss for 2016

September

New chief executive Debbie White admits the 拢160m figure for the cost of exiting the sector will go up further

October

Firm warns it is unlikely to meet financial covenants for 2017 and adds another 拢35m to its EfW bill